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The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Ancient Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit −5 701.63₽

Invest 15 055.90₽

Average return 9 354.27₽

ROI −37.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest 16 932.50 ₽, profit −7 578.23 ₽

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 10.0% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×2

Souvenir P250 | Digital Architect

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3240

3 535.90 ₽

at 1 767.95

souvenirSteam

×8

Souvenir MAC-10 | Gold Brick

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.6391

11 520.00 ₽

at 1 440.00

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 15 055.90 ₽ −5 701.63 (−37.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 80%
About break-even 10%
Above the Steam cap 10%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Panthera onca

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.862744

10 927.96 ₽ 40.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Run and Hide

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.862744

11 799.45 ₽ 40.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

about break-even

best

Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

16 664.49 ₽ 10.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

SG 553 | Hazard Pay

Well-Worn

float up to 0.414117

not on Steam: above the cap 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 3 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −7 481.82 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −6 054.48 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Vertigo Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2251019 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit −5 701.63₽ · invest 15 055.90₽
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; Souvenir P250 | Digital Architect (Field-Tested): float at most 0.369334 instead of 0.324039; Souvenir MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.688407 instead of 0.639173
Craft 2251020 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit −5 701.63₽ · invest 15 055.90₽
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; SG 553 | Hazard Pay: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; Souvenir P250 | Digital Architect (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.324039; Souvenir MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.700000 instead of 0.639173

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Ancient Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build