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The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −14 477.78₸

Invest 25 156.85₸

Average return 10 679.07₸

ROI −57.5%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest 25 390.54 ₸, profit −14 711.47 ₸

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 10.0% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 3 contracts · medium (by listings)

×2

Souvenir P250 | Digital Architect

Field-Tested

any lot

18 900.00 ₸

at 9 450.00

souvenirSteam

×2

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Well-Worn

any lot

1 461.26 ₸

at 730.63

Steam

×6

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Battle-Scarred

any lot

4 795.58 ₸

at 799.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25 156.85 ₸ −14 477.78 (−57.5%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 80%
Above the Steam cap 10%

at a loss

P250 | Cartel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.633826

4 489.14 ₸ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.845102

4 167.85 ₸ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Tranquility

Well-Worn

float up to 0.422551

3 993.54 ₸ 26.67%

price cut

Steam

in profit

best

Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441002

89 074.60 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

SG 553 | Hazard Pay

Well-Worn

float up to 0.405648

not on Steam: above the cap 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −16 771.61 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −14 612.00 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Vertigo Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2252302 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit −14 546.41₸ · invest 25 225.48₸
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; Souvenir P250 | Digital Architect (Field-Tested): float at most 0.379951 instead of 0.380000; Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Well-Worn): 1 pcs instead of 2; Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Well-Worn): float at most 0.449985 instead of 0.450000; Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Battle-Scarred): 7 pcs instead of 6; Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999884 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2252303 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit −14 546.41₸ · invest 25 225.48₸
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Tranquility: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Well-Worn): 1 pcs instead of 2; Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Battle-Scarred): 7 pcs instead of 6

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build