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The Alpha Collection + The Ancient Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −3 767.61₽

Invest 5 755.36₽

Average return 1 987.75₽

ROI −65.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 13 064.36 ₽, profit at most −11 076.61 ₽

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.7% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

Negev | Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

650.45 ₽

at 650.45

Steam

×1

P250 | Facets

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0606

3 305.73 ₽

at 3 305.73

Steam

×1

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

176.65 ₽

at 176.65

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir P2000 | Panther Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

1 622.53 ₽

at 231.79

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 5 755.36 ₽ −3 767.61 (−65.5%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 93%
Above the Steam cap 7%

at a loss

AUG | Carved Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.002702

3 599.78 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Dark Water

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.102162

931.36 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Dusk Ruins

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

3 624.60 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Blast From the Past

Factory New

float up to 0.008783

850.40 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Anodized Navy

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

1 900.37 ₽ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

best

PP-Bizon | Rust Coat

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

5 369.94 ₽ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

MAG-7 | Hazard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.67%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Negev | Palm (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 650.45 → 1 404.97 ₽

P250 | Facets (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 3 305.73 → 7 140.38 ₽

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 176.65 → 381.56 ₽

Souvenir P2000 | Panther Camo (Factory New) × 7 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.55 1 622.53 → 4 137.45 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.002702, 0.102162, 0.008108, 0.008783, 0.001081, 0.013513, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Alpha Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The Alpha Collection Variant 3 The Dust Collection instead of The Alpha Collection Variant 4 The Inferno Collection instead of The Alpha Collection Variant 5 The Inferno Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 6 The Dust Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4 188.25 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −3 946.26 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Alpha Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Alpha Collection + The Ancient Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build