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The Arabesque Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +7 312.37₽

Invest 18 505.66₽

Average return 25 818.03₽

ROI +39.5%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 47 196.19 ₽, profit at most −21 378.16 ₽

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −17 668 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

293.96 ₽

at 293.96

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

1 411.78 ₽

at 1 411.78

Steam

×8

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

16 799.92 ₽

at 2 099.99

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18 505.66 ₽ +7 312.37 (+39.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

AK-47 | Red Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093636

9 803.49 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | BOOM

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

54 035.48 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Factory New

float up to 0.045454

5 294.71 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Falak

Factory New

float up to 0.045454

13 969.33 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arabesque Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 3 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 The Breakout Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 6 The Huntsman Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 023.12 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6 704.25 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arabesque Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2281803 · The Overpass Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 7 981.37₽ · invest 20 505.90₽
profit on prices without salesat least −20 506 ₽ rare inputs

AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165966 instead of 0.162241; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075553 instead of 0.074257
Craft 2250611 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 7 937.96₽ · invest 20 102.23₽
profit on prices without salesat least −20 102 ₽ rare inputs

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165966 instead of 0.162241; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075553 instead of 0.074257
Craft 2280561 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 7 910.24₽ · invest 18 520.21₽
profit on prices without salesat least −18 520 ₽ rare inputs

Nova | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Field-Tested)
Craft 2254197 · The Ancient Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 7 509.06₽ · invest 20 199.36₽
profit on prices without salesat least −20 199 ₽ rare inputs

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161769 instead of 0.162241; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.074257
Craft 2252367 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 7 450.21₽ · invest 20 011.70₽
profit on prices without salesat least −20 012 ₽ rare inputs

Souvenir P250 | Digital Architect (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164078 instead of 0.162241; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074896 instead of 0.074257
Craft 2254989 · The Anubis Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 7 379.59₽ · invest 18 782.14₽
profit on prices without salesat least −18 782 ₽ rare inputs

Nova | Sobek's Bite (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Field-Tested)
Craft 2285862 · The Spy Tech Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 7 253.65₽ · invest 18 502.65₽
profit on prices without salesat least −18 503 ₽ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arabesque Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build