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The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit −4.99$

Invest 745.29$

Average return 740.30$

ROI −0.7%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 1 811.73 $, profit at most −1 071.42 $

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 45.0% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

16.73 $

at 16.73

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

228.07 $

at 57.02

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

500.49 $

at 100.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 745.29 $ −4.99 (−0.7%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 30.0% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

74.98 $

at 37.49

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Case Hardened

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

200.23 $

at 100.12

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

171.05 $

at 57.02

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0606

300.29 $

at 100.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 746.56 $ −224.57 (−30.1%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 10.0% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×5

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

187.45 $

at 37.49

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Case Hardened

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

300.35 $

at 100.12

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

57.02 $

at 57.02

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

100.10 $

at 100.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 644.92 $ −414.01 (−64.2%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 25.0% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

112.47 $

at 37.49

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Case Hardened

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

200.23 $

at 100.12

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

171.05 $

at 57.02

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

200.20 $

at 100.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 683.95 $ −234.73 (−34.3%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 20.0% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

149.96 $

at 37.49

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Case Hardened

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

200.23 $

at 100.12

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

114.03 $

at 57.02

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

200.20 $

at 100.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 664.42 $ −287.97 (−43.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
Above the Steam cap 45%

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM

Factory New

float up to 0.062972

1 870.07 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Cold Blooded

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

89.56 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Serum

Factory New

float up to 0.003378

106.78 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 3 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 only The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −419.19 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −9.16 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 2 Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build