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The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Bravo Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +93.50$

Invest 75.45$

Average return 168.95$

ROI +123.9%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 184.97 $, profit at most −16.03 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −73 $

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 15.0% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

30.39 $

at 7.60

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

45.06 $

at 7.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75.45 $ +93.50 (+123.9%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 22.5% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −205 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

7.60 $

at 7.60

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

45.06 $

at 7.51

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Bone Pile

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0606

153.11 $

at 51.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 205.77 $ +31.77 (+15.4%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 20.0% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −161 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

15.20 $

at 7.60

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

45.06 $

at 7.51

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Bone Pile

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

102.07 $

at 51.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 162.33 $ +52.35 (+32.2%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 17.5% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −117 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

22.80 $

at 7.60

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

45.06 $

at 7.51

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Bone Pile

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

51.04 $

at 51.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 118.89 $ +72.92 (+61.3%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 12.5% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −70 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

5.75 $

at 5.75

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

30.39 $

at 7.60

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

37.55 $

at 7.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 73.69 $ +72.39 (+98.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 10%
Above the Steam cap 15%

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Bright Water

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.101621

78.58 $ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Zirka

Factory New

float up to 0.064864

526.06 $ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Graven

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Overgrowth

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

593.22 $ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate

Factory New

float up to 0.002702

10.71 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Heirloom

Factory New

float up to 0.010810

82.73 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy

Factory New

float up to 0.002702

29.51 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Titanium Bit

Factory New

float up to 0.002702

23.17 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Bravo Collection

Variant 2 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Bravo Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Bravo Collection Variant 4 The Genesis Collection instead of The Bravo Collection Variant 5 The Chroma 3 Collection instead of The Bravo Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +66.71 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +94.64 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 3 Collection and The Bravo Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 32 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2258523 · The Bravo Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 113.73$ · invest 50.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −49 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New)
Craft 2258700 · The Bravo Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 111.20$ · invest 46.85$
profit on prices without salesat least −45 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074120 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258557 · The Bravo Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 110.85$ · invest 47.13$
profit on prices without salesat least −45 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New)
Craft 2258489 · The Bravo Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 110.67$ · invest 50.25$
profit on prices without salesat least −46 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258852 · The Bravo Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 110.37$ · invest 47.25$
profit on prices without salesat least −46 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074291 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258623 · The Bravo Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 110.06$ · invest 50.94$
profit on prices without salesat least −47 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258837 · The Bravo Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 110.00$ · invest 47.67$
profit on prices without salesat least −46 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New)
Craft 2258540 · The Bravo Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 109.20$ · invest 48.74$
profit on prices without salesat least −47 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258571 · The Bravo Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 109.16$ · invest 51.29$
profit on prices without salesat least −47 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074129 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2259042 · The Bravo Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 108.76$ · invest 58.49$
profit on prices without salesat least −57 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Magma (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New)
Craft 2258470 · The Bravo Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 108.46$ · invest 49.31$
profit on prices without salesat least −48 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258729 · The Bravo Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 108.07$ · invest 56.49$
profit on prices without salesat least −54 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Contaminant (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New)
Craft 2258757 · The Bravo Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 105.00$ · invest 64.28$
profit on prices without salesat least −61 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Plague (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074251 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258919 · The Bravo Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 102.09$ · invest 63.71$
profit on prices without salesat least −59 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074330 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258939 · The Bravo Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 93.91$ · invest 42.85$
profit on prices without salesat least −37 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2259011 · The Bravo Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 93.53$ · invest 47.50$
profit on prices without salesat least −38 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074153 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258870 · The Bravo Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 93.26$ · invest 44.43$
profit on prices without salesat least −40 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258424 · The Bravo Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 93.22$ · invest 42.40$
profit on prices without salesat least −41 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258438 · The Bravo Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 92.83$ · invest 44.50$
profit on prices without salesat least −42 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258640 · The Bravo Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 92.69$ · invest 43.58$
profit on prices without salesat least −40 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074100 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258896 · The Bravo Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 92.65$ · invest 45.23$
profit on prices without salesat least −44 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258504 · The Bravo Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 92.47$ · invest 39.22$
profit on prices without salesat least −38 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074681 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258605 · The Bravo Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 92.41$ · invest 41.86$
profit on prices without salesat least −38 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258798 · The Bravo Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 92.15$ · invest 41.72$
profit on prices without salesat least −40 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258668 · The Bravo Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 92.04$ · invest 43.50$
profit on prices without salesat least −40 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258973 · The Bravo Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 91.60$ · invest 41.90$
profit on prices without salesat least −40 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258591 · The Bravo Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 91.41$ · invest 42.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −41 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074100 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258450 · The Bravo Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 91.36$ · invest 41.00$
profit on prices without salesat least −40 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258813 · The Bravo Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 91.22$ · invest 45.38$
profit on prices without salesat least −41 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258955 · The Bravo Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 91.13$ · invest 40.75$
profit on prices without salesat least −40 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258371 · The Bravo Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 90.96$ · invest 41.51$
profit on prices without salesat least −39 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074123
Craft 2258381 · The Bravo Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 89.63$ · invest 43.94$
profit on prices without salesat least −43 $ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074891 instead of 0.074123

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Bravo Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build