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The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +24.04$

Invest 50.89$

Average return 74.93$

ROI +47.2%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 118.24 $, profit at most −43.31 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

7.84 $

at 7.84

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

16.04 $

at 2.67

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

27.01 $

at 9.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 50.89 $ +24.04 (+47.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Hellish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

129.16 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

53.30 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

34.50 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Undertow

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

46.75 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 4 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9.61 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +17.20 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 3 Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2254945 · The Anubis Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 25.57$ · invest 59.74$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.163631; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004780 instead of 0.004148
Craft 2285924 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 24.12$ · invest 50.01$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.163631; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004780 instead of 0.004148

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build