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The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1 534.39₸

Invest 8 194.90₸

Average return 9 729.29₸

ROI +18.7%

Chance of profit 52%

With float: invest at least 20 482.65 ₸, profit at most −10 753.37 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −191 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

1 207.42 ₸

at 1 207.42

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

518.54 ₸

at 518.54

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

6 468.94 ₸

at 808.62

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 194.90 ₸ +1 534.39 (+18.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 526 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

1 207.42 ₸

at 1 207.42

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

5 636.38 ₸

at 1 409.09

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

808.62 ₸

at 808.62

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

3 614.41 ₸

at 903.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11 266.82 ₸ +544.89 (+4.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 790 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

3 622.26 ₸

at 1 207.42

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

2 425.85 ₸

at 808.62

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

3 614.41 ₸

at 903.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 662.52 ₸ +1 108.00 (+11.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 48%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

4 170.04 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 364.65 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

21 887.15 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

2 938.08 ₸ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

4 861.06 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Heirloom

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

37 541.35 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

13 391.42 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Titanium Bit

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

10 514.12 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Genesis Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +136.62 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 220.04 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 3 Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2259865 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1 703.33₸ · invest 7 347.53₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167146 instead of 0.163150; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075963 instead of 0.074574
Craft 2286001 · The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 1 688.65₸ · invest 7 789.25₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162887 instead of 0.163150; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074482 instead of 0.074574
Craft 2281210 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1 536.66₸ · invest 7 600.73₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Plague (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164540 instead of 0.163150; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075057 instead of 0.074574
Craft 2273546 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1 534.89₸ · invest 7 144.63₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163099 instead of 0.163150; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074556 instead of 0.074574

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build