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The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +20.76$

Invest 35.02$

Average return 55.77$

ROI +59.3%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 83.24 $, profit at most −27.47 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

5.50 $

at 5.50

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

18.02 $

at 2.57

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

11.50 $

at 5.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35.02 $ +20.76 (+59.3%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

USP-S | Royal Guard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

3.20 $

at 3.20

Steam

×4

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

21.99 $

at 5.50

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

1.90 $

at 1.90

Steam

×4

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

10.30 $

at 2.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 37.38 $ +6.80 (+18.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

130.36 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

40.01 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

32.04 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Stratosphere

Factory New

float up to 0.047058

34.16 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +12.05 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +18.49 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ascent Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2276348 · The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 22.34$ · invest 37.36$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077711 instead of 0.078708; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.006747 instead of 0.007619
Craft 2282394 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 21.92$ · invest 32.77$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079182 instead of 0.078708; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.008034 instead of 0.007619
Craft 2263579 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 21.80$ · invest 33.29$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076127 instead of 0.078708; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.005361 instead of 0.007619
Craft 2284997 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 21.54$ · invest 33.65$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077582 instead of 0.078708; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.006634 instead of 0.007619
Craft 2284180 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 21.36$ · invest 34.59$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078795 instead of 0.078708; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007696 instead of 0.007619
Craft 2269752 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 21.23$ · invest 31.87$
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078179 instead of 0.078708; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007156 instead of 0.007619
Craft 2263580 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 21.20$ · invest 33.29$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079182 instead of 0.078708; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.008034 instead of 0.007619
Craft 2255883 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 20.96$ · invest 38.02$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Graphite (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075739 instead of 0.078708; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.005022 instead of 0.007619
Craft 2284935 · The Shadow Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 20.27$ · invest 37.24$
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074465 instead of 0.078708; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.003907 instead of 0.007619

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build