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The Baggage Collection + The Mirage Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +320.11$

Invest 285.71$

Average return 605.82$

ROI +112.0%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 701.09 $, profit at most −95.27 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −286 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | First Class

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

72.00 $

at 72.00

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Blaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

18.47 $

at 18.47

Steam

×8

MAC-10 | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

195.24 $

at 24.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 285.71 $ +320.11 (+112.0%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

MAG-7 | Bulldozer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

744.46 $ 90.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | First Class

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

270.91 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Desert Eagle | Pilot

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

262.57 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Baggage Collection + The Mirage Collection

Variant 2 only The Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The Baggage Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Baggage Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Baggage Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Baggage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +273.26 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +320.19 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Baggage Collection and The Mirage Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2253201 · The Alpha Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 334.92$ · invest 276.96$
profit on prices without salesat least −277 $ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Rust Coat (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | First Class (Factory New); UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New): float at most 0.004033 instead of 0.003916; MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New): float at most 0.004033 instead of 0.003916
Craft 2279761 · The Mirage Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 317.98$ · invest 273.73$
profit on prices without salesat least −274 $ rare inputs

M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | First Class (Factory New); UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New): float at most 0.004133 instead of 0.003916; MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New): float at most 0.004133 instead of 0.003916
Craft 2256383 · The Arms Deal Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 313.53$ · invest 276.29$
profit on prices without salesat least −269 $ rare inputs

SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | First Class (Factory New); UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New): float at most 0.004133 instead of 0.003916; MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New): float at most 0.004133 instead of 0.003916

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Baggage Collection + The Mirage Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build