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The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +12 585.05₸

Invest 44 518.46₸

Average return 57 103.51₸

ROI +28.3%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 111 454.47 ₸, profit at most −54 350.96 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

11 976.77 ₸

at 11 976.77

Steam

×9

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

32 541.69 ₸

at 3 615.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44 518.46 ₸ +12 585.05 (+28.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

AK-47 | Nightwish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59 944.84 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

59 270.98 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

105 834.34 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.064399

134 603.72 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5 504.03 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +11 454.39 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2268627 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 13 839.40₸ · invest 41 122.40₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2268511 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 13 821.15₸ · invest 35 775.46₸
XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2269084 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 13 689.14₸ · invest 36 650.74₸
rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2264910 · The Clutch Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 13 687.53₸ · invest 36 967.49₸
AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076737 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2260135 · The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 13 482.89₸ · invest 37 473.41₸
rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076644 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2268818 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 13 468.76₸ · invest 36 811.57₸
Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076792 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2269130 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 13 050.08₸ · invest 37 539.42₸
AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2268965 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 12 889.16₸ · invest 38 478.25₸
rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build