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The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +4 878.76₴

Invest 15 919.67₴

Average return 20 798.43₴

ROI +30.6%

Chance of profit 80%

With float: invest at least 37 131.14 ₴, profit at most −16 332.71 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −15 707 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Koi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

295.92 ₴

at 147.96

Steam

×5

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

5 559.45 ₴

at 1 111.89

Steam

×3

P250 | Splash

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

10 064.30 ₴

at 3 354.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15 919.67 ₴ +4 878.76 (+30.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −19 020 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Koi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

147.96 ₴

at 147.96

Steam

×5

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

5 559.45 ₴

at 1 111.89

Steam

×4

P250 | Splash

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0606

13 419.07 ₴

at 3 354.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19 126.47 ₴ +4 014.14 (+21.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 637 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Koi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

443.88 ₴

at 147.96

Steam

×4

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

4 447.56 ₴

at 1 111.89

Steam

×3

P250 | Splash

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

10 064.30 ₴

at 3 354.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 955.74 ₴ +3 500.51 (+23.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 255 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Nova | Koi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

739.81 ₴

at 147.96

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

3 335.67 ₴

at 1 111.89

Steam

×2

P250 | Splash

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

6 709.53 ₴

at 3 354.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 785.01 ₴ +2 986.88 (+27.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 872 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Nova | Koi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

1 035.73 ₴

at 147.96

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

2 223.78 ₴

at 1 111.89

Steam

×1

P250 | Splash

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

3 354.77 ₴

at 3 354.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 614.28 ₴ +2 473.25 (+37.4%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Red Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 000.06 ₴ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | BOOM

Factory New

float up to 0.062972

28 610.37 ₴ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

float up to 0.004054

1 139.10 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

3 450.00 ₴ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.009459

2 521.27 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 607.67 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4 230.03 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2262632 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 4 792.55₴ · invest 16 022.53₴
profit on prices without salesat least −15 687 ₴ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) instead of Nova | Koi (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075456 instead of 0.074299; P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060682 instead of 0.060537
Craft 2252366 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 4 789.75₴ · invest 16 989.78₴
profit on prices without salesat least −16 990 ₴ rare inputs

Souvenir MAG-7 | Prism Terrace (Factory New) instead of Nova | Koi (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074240 instead of 0.074299; P250 | Splash (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060530 instead of 0.060537
Craft 2286148 · The eSports 2013 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 4 758.28₴ · invest 16 550.73₴
profit on prices without salesat least −16 551 ₴ rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New) instead of Nova | Koi (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074740 instead of 0.074299; P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060592 instead of 0.060537
Craft 2284124 · The Revolution Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 4 749.36₴ · invest 15 743.37₴
profit on prices without salesat least −15 637 ₴ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested), P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New) instead of Nova | Koi (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074503 instead of 0.074299; P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060562 instead of 0.060537
Craft 2276551 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 4 677.43₴ · invest 16 328.49₴
profit on prices without salesat least −15 859 ₴ rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of Nova | Koi (Factory New)
Craft 2247990 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 3 934.97₴ · invest 16 753.64₴
profit on prices without salesat least −16 695 ₴ rare inputs

MP7 | Fade (Factory New) instead of Nova | Koi (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074002 instead of 0.074299; P250 | Splash (Factory New): float at most 0.060500 instead of 0.060537

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build