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The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +22.47$

Invest 31.79$

Average return 54.26$

ROI +70.7%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 76.27 $, profit at most −22.01 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

2.27 $

at 2.27

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

18.02 $

at 2.57

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

11.50 $

at 5.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31.79 $ +22.47 (+70.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

130.36 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

40.01 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

32.04 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries

Factory New

float up to 0.035294

26.92 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Factory New

float up to 0.047058

13.31 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

float up to 0.029411

9.94 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 only The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13.94 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +20.38 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 14 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2270551 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 24.43$ · invest 30.58$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Nevermore (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075085 instead of 0.078179; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.004450 instead of 0.007156
Craft 2258212 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 23.01$ · invest 32.77$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) instead of P250 | Nevermore (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078827 instead of 0.078179; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007723 instead of 0.007156
Craft 2284734 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 23.00$ · invest 31.29$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of P250 | Nevermore (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078795 instead of 0.078179; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007696 instead of 0.007156
Craft 2284801 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 22.99$ · invest 32.10$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of P250 | Nevermore (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078348 instead of 0.078179; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007304 instead of 0.007156
Craft 2284905 · The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 22.94$ · invest 35.13$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of P250 | Nevermore (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078348 instead of 0.078179; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007304 instead of 0.007156
Craft 2283440 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 22.93$ · invest 31.01$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of P250 | Nevermore (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078795 instead of 0.078179; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007696 instead of 0.007156
Craft 2281987 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 22.87$ · invest 35.24$
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) instead of P250 | Nevermore (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078101 instead of 0.078179; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007088 instead of 0.007156
Craft 2260811 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 22.71$ · invest 32.24$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of P250 | Nevermore (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078939 instead of 0.078179; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007821 instead of 0.007156
Craft 2284826 · The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 22.59$ · invest 33.82$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of P250 | Nevermore (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078842 instead of 0.078179; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007737 instead of 0.007156
Craft 2282755 · The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 22.46$ · invest 31.26$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) instead of P250 | Nevermore (Factory New)
Craft 2275679 · The Genesis Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 22.32$ · invest 33.17$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Ocular (Factory New) instead of P250 | Nevermore (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079182 instead of 0.078179; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.008034 instead of 0.007156
Craft 2268118 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 22.25$ · invest 33.75$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) instead of P250 | Nevermore (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079182 instead of 0.078179; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.008034 instead of 0.007156
Craft 2272331 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 22.25$ · invest 31.47$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) instead of P250 | Nevermore (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078998 instead of 0.078179; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007873 instead of 0.007156
Craft 2264587 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 22.23$ · invest 34.57$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of P250 | Nevermore (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078488 instead of 0.078179; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007427 instead of 0.007156

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build