to all crafts

The Danger Zone Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +94.12$

Invest 94.25$

Average return 188.38$

ROI +99.9%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 238.80 $, profit at most −50.42 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −67 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

5.94 $

at 5.94

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

81.88 $

at 10.24

Steam

×1

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

6.44 $

at 6.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 94.25 $ +94.12 (+99.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −73 $

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

30.71 $

at 10.24

Steam

×3

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

19.31 $

at 6.44

Steam

×4

XM1014 | XOXO

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

64.61 $

at 16.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 114.63 $ +12.01 (+10.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −69 $

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

40.94 $

at 10.24

Steam

×3

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

19.31 $

at 6.44

Steam

×3

XM1014 | XOXO

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

48.46 $

at 16.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 108.71 $ +28.22 (+26.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −66 $

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

51.18 $

at 10.24

Steam

×3

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

19.31 $

at 6.44

Steam

×2

XM1014 | XOXO

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

32.31 $

at 16.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 102.79 $ +44.43 (+43.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −62 $

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

61.41 $

at 10.24

Steam

×3

XM1014 | XOXO

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

19.31 $

at 6.44

Steam

×1

XM1014 | XOXO

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

16.15 $

at 16.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 96.87 $ +60.64 (+62.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 10%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

399.02 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

57.92 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

float up to 0.024307

108.36 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | The Traitor

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

111.89 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 The Fever Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +56.63 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +89.71 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2261743 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 98.29$ · invest 101.93$
profit on prices without salesat least −58 $ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075368 instead of 0.075254; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004697 instead of 0.004597
Craft 2266428 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 96.71$ · invest 94.32$
profit on prices without salesat least −59 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075746 instead of 0.075254; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.005028 instead of 0.004597
Craft 2267198 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 96.17$ · invest 102.14$
profit on prices without salesat least −73 $ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075746 instead of 0.075254; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.005028 instead of 0.004597
Craft 2266902 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 96.08$ · invest 95.97$
profit on prices without salesat least −66 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075746 instead of 0.075254; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.005028 instead of 0.004597
Craft 2266524 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 95.70$ · invest 102.36$
profit on prices without salesat least −68 $ rare inputs

AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074648 instead of 0.075254; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004067 instead of 0.004597
Craft 2266337 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 94.44$ · invest 95.79$
profit on prices without salesat least −62 $ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075746 instead of 0.075254; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.005028 instead of 0.004597
Craft 2267022 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 93.88$ · invest 93.61$
profit on prices without salesat least −62 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075746 instead of 0.075254; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.005028 instead of 0.004597
Craft 2266985 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 92.90$ · invest 94.03$
profit on prices without salesat least −63 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075746 instead of 0.075254; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.005028 instead of 0.004597
Craft 2266742 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 92.59$ · invest 94.21$
profit on prices without salesat least −64 $ rare inputs

USP-S | Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075746 instead of 0.075254; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.005028 instead of 0.004597
Craft 2266458 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 91.53$ · invest 93.77$
profit on prices without salesat least −65 $ rare inputs

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074133 instead of 0.075254; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003616 instead of 0.004597

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build