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The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +38 491.03₸

Invest 72 294.12₸

Average return 110 785.15₸

ROI +53.2%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 179 313.70 ₸, profit at most −68 528.60 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −63 939 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

5% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

20 863.28 ₸

at 10 431.64

Steam

×8

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

51 430.84 ₸

at 6 428.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 72 294.12 ₸ +38 491.03 (+53.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −47 845 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0798

15 726.68 ₸

at 5 242.23

Steam

×2

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

20 863.28 ₸

at 10 431.64

Steam

×5

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0798

32 144.27 ₸

at 6 428.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 68 734.23 ₸ +31 710.41 (+46.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −53 210 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

10 484.45 ₸

at 5 242.23

Steam

×2

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

20 863.28 ₸

at 10 431.64

Steam

×6

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

38 573.13 ₸

at 6 428.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 69 920.86 ₸ +33 970.61 (+48.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −58 574 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

5 242.23 ₸

at 5 242.23

Steam

×2

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

20 863.28 ₸

at 10 431.64

Steam

×7

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

45 001.98 ₸

at 6 428.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 71 107.49 ₸ +36 230.82 (+51.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −72 263 ₸

4% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

10 431.64 ₸

at 10 431.64

Steam

×8

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

51 430.84 ₸

at 6 428.85

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

14 578.69 ₸

at 14 578.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 76 441.17 ₸ +37 790.81 (+49.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

147 739.17 ₸ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

122 922.06 ₸ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

96 089.12 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

95 294.94 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Gallery Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +16 117.14 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +30 986.03 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 20 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2284197 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 44 517.66₸ · invest 59 936.18₸
profit on prices without salesat least −52 833 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075686 instead of 0.077310
Craft 2263596 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 42 931.68₸ · invest 70 227.68₸
profit on prices without salesat least −70 228 ₸ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076968 instead of 0.077310
Craft 2274974 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 42 175.03₸ · invest 68 592.27₸
profit on prices without salesat least −62 789 ₸ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076086 instead of 0.077310
Craft 2272350 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 42 138.53₸ · invest 57 898.39₸
profit on prices without salesat least −52 005 ₸ rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076277 instead of 0.077310
Craft 2283462 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 41 874.52₸ · invest 59 648.93₸
profit on prices without salesat least −52 269 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.077310
Craft 2265710 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 41 871.30₸ · invest 60 282.44₸
profit on prices without salesat least −56 898 ₸ rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076666 instead of 0.077310
Craft 2277900 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 41 784.70₸ · invest 70 484.78₸
profit on prices without salesat least −60 972 ₸ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077021 instead of 0.077310
Craft 2260828 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 41 462.01₸ · invest 61 294.29₸
profit on prices without salesat least −52 681 ₸ rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076503 instead of 0.077310
Craft 2279198 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 41 433.76₸ · invest 59 970.61₸
profit on prices without salesat least −52 709 ₸ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076762 instead of 0.077310
Craft 2283843 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 40 596.40₸ · invest 61 426.31₸
profit on prices without salesat least −53 547 ₸ rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077021 instead of 0.077310
Craft 2281998 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 40 274.56₸ · invest 63 303.96₸
profit on prices without salesat least −53 868 ₸ rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075282 instead of 0.077310
Craft 2259763 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 39 666.31₸ · invest 75 384.38₸
profit on prices without salesat least −54 477 ₸ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075282 instead of 0.077310
Craft 2271491 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 39 411.86₸ · invest 65 831.06₸
profit on prices without salesat least −54 731 ₸ rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)
Craft 2269221 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 38 731.81₸ · invest 65 777.82₸
profit on prices without salesat least −55 411 ₸ rare inputs

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)
Craft 2284816 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 38 432.10₸ · invest 68 684.20₸
profit on prices without salesat least −55 711 ₸ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076473 instead of 0.077310
Craft 2267106 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 38 218.30₸ · invest 60 720.32₸
profit on prices without salesat least −55 925 ₸ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076277 instead of 0.077310
Craft 2282411 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 38 167.56₸ · invest 68 000.88₸
profit on prices without salesat least −61 144 ₸ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)
Craft 2278406 · The Huntsman Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 37 280.77₸ · invest 84 704.44₸
profit on prices without salesat least −81 526 ₸ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076277 instead of 0.077310
Craft 2284922 · The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 37 143.61₸ · invest 79 445.21₸
profit on prices without salesat least −60 709 ₸ rare inputs

Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076588 instead of 0.077310
Craft 2284785 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 37 120.47₸ · invest 74 733.55₸
profit on prices without salesat least −69 256 ₸ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build