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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +55.20₽

Invest 5 478.53₽

Average return 5 533.73₽

ROI +1.0%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 14 112.49 ₽, profit at most −8 578.77 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×9

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5761

4 848.66 ₽

at 538.74

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3960

629.87 ₽

at 629.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 478.53 ₽ +55.20 (+1.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

6 325.00 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

6 791.86 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

4 223.37 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

5 000.63 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Fever Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −541.26 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −139.71 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2268517 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 53.83₽ · invest 5 195.12₽
XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Field-Tested instead of Well-Worn; FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.490665 instead of 0.576104
Craft 2268629 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 53.79₽ · invest 5 928.12₽
rare inputs

P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.540415 instead of 0.576104
Craft 2268597 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 51.94₽ · invest 5 921.66₽
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.576104
Craft 2268940 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 51.66₽ · invest 5 698.66₽
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Battle-Scarred) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.553364 instead of 0.576104
Craft 2269524 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 50.97₽ · invest 5 748.66₽
profit on prices without salesat least −281 ₽ rare inputs

AUG | Bengal Tiger (Battle-Scarred) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.556285 instead of 0.576104
Craft 2264029 · The Chroma Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 50.66₽ · invest 5 959.30₽
rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Well-Worn) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.576104
Craft 2269095 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 49.83₽ · invest 5 171.37₽
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Field-Tested instead of Well-Worn; FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.485059 instead of 0.576104

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build