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The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +43 934.71₸

Invest 82 147.57₸

Average return 126 082.28₸

ROI +53.5%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 213 388.81 ₸, profit at most −87 306.52 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −80 806 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

76 489.44 ₸

at 8 498.83

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

5 658.13 ₸

at 5 658.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 82 147.57 ₸ +43 934.71 (+53.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −68 577 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

4 634.27 ₸

at 4 634.27

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0792

50 992.96 ₸

at 8 498.83

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

16 974.40 ₸

at 5 658.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 72 601.63 ₸ +37 068.46 (+51.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −60 530 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

9 268.53 ₸

at 4 634.27

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

33 995.31 ₸

at 8 498.83

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

22 632.54 ₸

at 5 658.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 65 896.37 ₸ +35 567.64 (+54.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −36 590 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1692

4 634.27 ₸

at 4 634.27

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

10 082.49 ₸

at 3 360.83

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

33 948.80 ₸

at 5 658.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 48 665.56 ₸ +11 768.04 (+24.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −39 205 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

9 268.53 ₸

at 4 634.27

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

6 721.66 ₸

at 3 360.83

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

33 948.80 ₸

at 5 658.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 49 939.00 ₸ +18 700.68 (+37.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

185 894.94 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

122 968.29 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

30 858.92 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

89 264.41 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +20 294.24 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +35 708.70 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2270454 · The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 44 773.67₸ · invest 83 494.61₸
profit on prices without salesat least −83 495 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2264973 · The Clutch Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 43 307.57₸ · invest 82 277.03₸
profit on prices without salesat least −82 277 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076737 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2270215 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 43 153.23₸ · invest 86 419.44₸
profit on prices without salesat least −81 229 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076792 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2259279 · The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 43 074.78₸ · invest 91 013.24₸
profit on prices without salesat least −86 574 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2270680 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 42 903.35₸ · invest 91 013.24₸
profit on prices without salesat least −87 345 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076627 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2270342 · The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 41 688.14₸ · invest 86 898.04₸
profit on prices without salesat least −86 898 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076792 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2268454 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 41 639.66₸ · invest 85 127.24₸
profit on prices without salesat least −85 127 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2270048 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 41 160.79₸ · invest 88 462.90₸
profit on prices without salesat least −85 188 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2270106 · The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 40 909.24₸ · invest 89 536.37₸
profit on prices without salesat least −89 536 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076511

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build