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The Falchion Collection + The Norse Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit −28 773.31₽

Invest 29 137.87₽

Average return 364.56₽

ROI −98.8%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest 29 167.30 ₽, profit −28 802.75 ₽

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 10.0% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×9

P2000 | Handgun

Battle-Scarred

any lot

588.69 ₽

at 65.41

Steam

×1

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Well-Worn

any lot

28 549.18 ₽

at 28 549.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29 137.87 ₽ −28 773.31 (−98.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 90%
Above the Steam cap 10%

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.990000

400.31 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Field-Tested

float up to 0.316800

590.06 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.990000

407.10 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

Negev | Mjölnir

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.594000

not on Steam: above the cap 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Norse Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Norse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −28 819.53 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −28 777.68 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Norse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2270223 · The Falchion Collection + The Norse Collection · profit −28 773.31₽ · invest 29 137.87₽
no outcome price rare inputs

Negev | Mjölnir: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.740667 instead of 1.000000; AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Well-Worn): float at most 0.416994 instead of 0.450000
Craft 2270705 · The Falchion Collection + The St. Marc Collection · profit −30 783.72₽ · invest 31 148.28₽
no outcome price rare inputs

Glock-18 | Synth Leaf (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Well-Worn); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.697461 instead of 1.000000

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Norse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build