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The Fracture Collection + The Horizon Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +31.65$

Invest 93.43$

Average return 125.09$

ROI +33.9%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 229.10 $, profit at most −104.01 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

7.13 $

at 7.13

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

18.77 $

at 9.38

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

67.54 $

at 9.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 93.43 $ +31.65 (+33.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

241.07 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

62.00 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

62.71 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

86.65 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +14.03 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +27.71 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2274605 · The Gamma Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 31.69$ · invest 105.22$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074611 instead of 0.074679; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074611 instead of 0.074679
Craft 2260438 · The CS20 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 30.91$ · invest 97.18$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074342 instead of 0.074679; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074342 instead of 0.074679
Craft 2277581 · The Horizon Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 29.85$ · invest 95.72$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074839 instead of 0.074679; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074839 instead of 0.074679
Craft 2277689 · The Horizon Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 29.60$ · invest 99.39$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074303 instead of 0.074679; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074303 instead of 0.074679
Craft 2277790 · The Horizon Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 29.51$ · invest 95.36$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074861 instead of 0.074679; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074861 instead of 0.074679
Craft 2265257 · The Clutch Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 28.67$ · invest 96.06$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074679; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074679

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build