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The Fracture Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +20 170.50₸

Invest 42 402.73₸

Average return 62 573.23₸

ROI +47.6%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 103 095.85 ₸, profit at most −40 522.62 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

19 402.66 ₸

at 3 233.78

Steam

×4

AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

23 000.07 ₸

at 5 750.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 42 402.73 ₸ +20 170.50 (+47.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 80%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

28 458.24 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

39 321.40 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

215 463.00 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

42 663.58 ₸ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +11 051.90 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +16 392.05 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2283696 · The Recoil Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 19 378.48₸ · invest 47 654.36₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165131 instead of 0.163068
Craft 2265936 · The Clutch Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 19 368.81₸ · invest 49 554.89₸
profit on prices without salesat least −1 929 ₸ rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164495 instead of 0.163068
Craft 2261010 · The CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 18 140.94₸ · invest 52 590.42₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163881 instead of 0.163068
Craft 2279435 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 18 056.19₸ · invest 48 619.38₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164868 instead of 0.163068

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build