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The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +68.47₽

Invest 95.16₽

Average return 163.63₽

ROI +72.0%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 235.84 ₽, profit at most −72.21 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP9 | Bee-Tron

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

2.55 ₽

at 2.55

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

8.49 ₽

at 2.83

Steam

×6

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

84.12 ₽

at 14.02

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 95.16 ₽ +68.47 (+72.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.129066

301.90 ₽ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.129066

499.00 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Grassland

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.129066

190.15 ₽ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Gunsmoke

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.129066

216.27 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Picnic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20.58 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Coral Paisley

Factory New

float up to 0.060666

22.37 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

15.12 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Banana Leaf

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

16.14 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

14.22 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 5 The Italy Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +32.65 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +55.64 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2256858 · The Ascent Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 70.26₽ · invest 96.12₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164330 instead of 0.162561
Craft 2256859 · The Ascent Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 69.56₽ · invest 95.67₽
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Cobalt Grip (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161574 instead of 0.162561
Craft 2258077 · The Boreal Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 69.42₽ · invest 96.12₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164330 instead of 0.162561
Craft 2252872 · The Achroma Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 68.37₽ · invest 94.76₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163966 instead of 0.162561
Craft 2281672 · The Overpass Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 67.62₽ · invest 94.92₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169725 instead of 0.162561
Craft 2277174 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 54.40₽ · invest 72.78₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075669 instead of 0.074369; PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New): 5 pcs instead of 3; PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New): float at most 0.004960 instead of 0.003823; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 6; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166298 instead of 0.162561
Craft 2248542 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 53.83₽ · invest 90.10₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 6; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174005 instead of 0.162561

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build