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The Horizon Collection + The Revolution Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +28.07$

Invest 97.32$

Average return 125.39$

ROI +28.8%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 237.49 $, profit at most −112.10 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

18.77 $

at 9.38

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

67.54 $

at 9.65

Steam

×1

AWP | Duality

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

11.01 $

at 11.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 97.32 $ +28.07 (+28.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

241.07 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

62.00 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Head Shot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

55.50 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Temukau

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

100.84 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +10.35 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +24.02 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2277998 · The Horizon Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 27.57$ · invest 105.32$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of AWP | Duality (Factory New); FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074745 instead of 0.074920; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074745 instead of 0.074920
Craft 2260439 · The CS20 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 27.41$ · invest 97.18$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) instead of AWP | Duality (Factory New); FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074755 instead of 0.074920; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074755 instead of 0.074920
Craft 2266681 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 27.33$ · invest 96.54$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of AWP | Duality (Factory New); FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074679 instead of 0.074920; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074679 instead of 0.074920
Craft 2259467 · The Breakout Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 25.59$ · invest 112.70$
sells slowly rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of AWP | Duality (Factory New); FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074303 instead of 0.074920; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074303 instead of 0.074920

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build