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The Operation Hydra Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +35.42$

Invest 28.65$

Average return 64.07$

ROI +123.7%

Chance of profit 34%

With float: invest at least 72.53 $, profit at most −8.46 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAG-7 | Hard Water

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

5.98 $

at 5.98

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

22.67 $

at 2.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 28.65 $ +35.42 (+123.7%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 34%
Losing outcome 62%
About break-even 4%

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

9.00 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

12.82 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

207.79 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Orbit Mk01

Factory New

float up to 0.005851

104.64 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

P2000 | Woodsman

Factory New

float up to 0.008510

32.78 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Red Rock

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

46.94 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

P90 | Death Grip

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

32.64 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Death's Head

Factory New

float up to 0.005425

22.62 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Hydra Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +22.32 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +29.00 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Hydra Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2249583 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 36.71$ · invest 33.18$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir P250 | Black & Tan (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007451
Craft 2261198 · The Cache Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 35.69$ · invest 37.36$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Bone Machine (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.007451
Craft 2252254 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 35.30$ · invest 29.46$
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir Negev | Infrastructure (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007547 instead of 0.007451
Craft 2256312 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 35.00$ · invest 28.83$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Minimal Wear) instead of MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006114 instead of 0.007451

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Hydra Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build