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The Overpass Collection + The St. Marc Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +6.56$

Invest 15.80$

Average return 22.36$

ROI +41.5%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 35.72 $, profit at most −13.35 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

1.98 $

at 0.33

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

9.00 $

at 3.00

souvenirSteam

×1

M249 | Jungle

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

4.82 $

at 4.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.80 $ +6.56 (+41.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −17 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

1.98 $

at 0.33

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

6.00 $

at 3.00

souvenirSteam

×2

Sawed-Off | Jungle Thicket

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

12.19 $

at 6.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20.17 $ +2.19 (+10.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 48%
About break-even 2%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29.11 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

45.94 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Grassland

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13.44 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Gunsmoke

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14.38 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Dark Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

49.19 $ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

P90 | Sunset Lily

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

17.49 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Rust Leaf

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

21.79 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Banana Leaf

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

14.46 $ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Overpass Collection + The St. Marc Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The St. Marc Collection Variant 3 The Train Collection instead of The St. Marc Collection Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The St. Marc Collection Variant 5 only The Overpass Collection Variant 6 The Vertigo Collection instead of The St. Marc Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.70 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.59 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Overpass Collection and The St. Marc Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2279801 · The Norse Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 6.76$ · invest 17.94$
profit on prices without salesat least −18 $ rare inputs

Galil AR | Tornado (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Jungle (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2257319 · The Baggage Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 6.56$ · invest 16.40$
profit on prices without salesat least −16 $ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Contractor (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Jungle (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Overpass Collection + The St. Marc Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build