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The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +53.57₴

Invest 229.69₴

Average return 283.25₴

ROI +23.3%

Chance of profit 72%

With float: invest at least 581.23 ₴, profit at most −297.98 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

48.61 ₴

at 48.61

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

181.08 ₴

at 20.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 229.69 ₴ +53.57 (+23.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 28%
About break-even 22%

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

528.64 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

292.20 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092999

187.49 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

269.83 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.234999

231.06 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

601.02 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

float up to 0.174999

175.26 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.056999

518.88 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +8.84 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +47.81 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2259741 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 49.10₴ · invest 216.75₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165610 instead of 0.162786
Craft 2284758 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 48.31₴ · invest 209.83₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165610 instead of 0.162786

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build