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The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +22 399.97₸

Invest 11 179.54₸

Average return 33 579.51₸

ROI +200.4%

Chance of profit 38%

With float: invest at least 26 680.92 ₸, profit at most +6 898.59 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 610 ₸

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 10.0% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×7

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

4 879.82 ₸

at 697.12

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0838

6 299.72 ₸

at 2 099.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11 179.54 ₸ +22 399.97 (+200.4%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 52%
About break-even 18%
Above the Steam cap 10%

about break-even

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.012162

13 434.77 ₸ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

7 483.14 ₸ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

3 743.92 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.012162

7 400.18 ₸ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

284 630.52 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Factory New

float up to 0.061621

45 425.00 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 6 only The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +21 223.12 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +22 265.27 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 15 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2285392 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 23 195.47₸ · invest 9 667.17₸
profit on prices without salesat least −6 028 ₸ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 2286013 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 22 954.98₸ · invest 12 624.93₸
profit on prices without salesat least −6 626 ₸ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.083687 instead of 0.083814
Craft 2284415 · The Revolver Case Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 22 788.13₸ · invest 10 674.42₸
profit on prices without salesat least −8 082 ₸ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 2263876 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 22 757.60₸ · invest 9 380.94₸
profit on prices without salesat least −8 632 ₸ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 2264773 · The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 22 511.87₸ · invest 10 719.69₸
profit on prices without salesat least −9 173 ₸ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 2276547 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 22 425.14₸ · invest 10 135.25₸
profit on prices without salesat least −8 003 ₸ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.083653 instead of 0.083814
Craft 2269489 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 22 281.98₸ · invest 7 361.21₸
profit on prices without salesat least −6 418 ₸ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.084008 instead of 0.083814
Craft 2275176 · The Gamma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 22 247.02₸ · invest 9 038.96₸
profit on prices without salesat least −6 453 ₸ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 2278095 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 22 007.18₸ · invest 10 078.75₸
profit on prices without salesat least −8 097 ₸ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.083956 instead of 0.083814
Craft 2285703 · The Spectrum Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 21 732.84₸ · invest 9 063.65₸
profit on prices without salesat least −7 730 ₸ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 2274472 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 21 608.85₸ · invest 9 318.83₸
profit on prices without salesat least −8 540 ₸ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.083653 instead of 0.083814
Craft 2265965 · The Clutch Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 21 579.47₸ · invest 8 491.56₸
profit on prices without salesat least −7 757 ₸ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.083956 instead of 0.083814
Craft 2283015 · The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 21 489.58₸ · invest 11 276.07₸
profit on prices without salesat least −8 654 ₸ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.083956 instead of 0.083814
Craft 2285565 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 21 432.30₸ · invest 8 331.42₸
profit on prices without salesat least −7 547 ₸ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 2259904 · The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 21 321.62₸ · invest 8 820.07₸
profit on prices without salesat least −7 379 ₸ no outcome price rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build