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The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +12.54$

Invest 14.99$

Average return 27.53$

ROI +83.6%

Chance of profit 49%

With float: invest at least 39.08 $, profit at most −11.55 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

G3SG1 | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1667

0.74 $

at 0.74

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

14.25 $

at 1.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.99 $ +12.54 (+83.6%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 49%
Losing outcome 51%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

9.21 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

82.60 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

29.68 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6.96 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Rat Rod

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

80.12 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

9.00 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11.26 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Obsidian

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22.59 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Neon Ply

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.10 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.72 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9.94 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shattered Web Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2281207 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 12.18$ · invest 15.19$
profit on prices without salesat least −12 $ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested) instead of G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075604 instead of 0.075837
Craft 2285919 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.82$ · invest 14.48$
profit on prices without salesat least −12 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested) instead of G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075410 instead of 0.075837
Craft 2257651 · The Bank Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.42$ · invest 14.58$
profit on prices without salesat least −12 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Field-Tested) instead of G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)
Craft 2277018 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.37$ · invest 15.34$
profit on prices without salesat least −12 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Field-Tested) instead of G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074480 instead of 0.075837

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build