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The eSports 2013 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +142.52$

Invest 179.09$

Average return 321.61$

ROI +79.6%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 442.34 $, profit at most −120.74 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −179 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

123.67 $

at 24.73

Steam

×5

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

55.41 $

at 11.08

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 179.09 $ +142.52 (+79.6%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Red Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

667.37 $ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | BOOM

Factory New

float up to 0.062972

636.46 $ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Electric Hive

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

86.20 $ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.002702

111.23 $ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

float up to 0.025135

65.90 $ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The eSports 2013 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 only The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +90.76 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +130.81 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The eSports 2013 Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2286114 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 142.85$ · invest 164.14$
profit on prices without salesat least −155 $ rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New)
Craft 2270802 · The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 142.77$ · invest 151.72$
profit on prices without salesat least −148 $ rare inputs

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New)
Craft 2282211 · The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 125.36$ · invest 133.23$
profit on prices without salesat least −104 $ rare inputs

USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074218 instead of 0.074357

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The eSports 2013 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build