The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −5 388.45₴

Invest 13 955.97₴

Average return 8 567.51₴

ROI −38.6%

Chance of profit 17%

With float: invest 14 439.74 ₴, profit −5 872.23 ₴

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −5 737.14 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×4

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3510

7 975.97 ₴

at 1 993.99

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.4411

5 980.00 ₴

at 5 980.00

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 13 955.97 ₴ −5 388.45 (−38.6%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 17%
Losing outcome 76%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

12 578.35 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.141756

17 056.77 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

6 042.50 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

6 221.50 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

8 874.01 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

3 599.89 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

3 416.65 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

9 230.84 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

4 261.95 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

3 101.73 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

2 687.13 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

6 742.85 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

20 670.05 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

27 421.37 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

16 382.11 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263513

10 536.53 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.716216

7 867.51 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

7 699.26 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

17 610.74 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

21 127.59 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

12 833.37 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263513

9 266.71 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.716216

7 516.64 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

7 726.39 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

7 695.37 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

8 221.69 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

7 248.10 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263513

4 140.10 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.716216

2 872.54 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

3 101.72 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

53 369.93 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

64 787.89 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

67 424.69 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263513

42 690.02 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.716216

35 907.46 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Ultraviolet

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

29 685.46 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

47 751.11 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

49 240.94 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

40 894.67 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263513

29 219.24 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.716216

18 008.39 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

18 531.57 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 4 87% of the wear range fits ×1.06 7 975.97 → 8 421.83 ₴

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) × 1 87% of the wear range fits ×1.01 5 980.00 → 6 017.67 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.527026927

outcomes come out up to 0.042162, 0.141756, 0.527026, 0.527026, 0.527026, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.000000, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.263513, 0.716216, 0.449999, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.263513, 0.716216, 0.449999, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.263513, 0.716216, 0.449999, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.263513, 0.716216, 0.449999, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.263513, 0.716216, 0.449999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −6 502.20 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −5 678.03 ₴ historical median

6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 2 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2289789 · The Wildfire Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −4 918.88₴ · invest 16 562.05₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.351032
Craft 2289797 · The Breakout Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −4 918.88₴ · invest 16 562.05₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.351032
Craft 2290480 · The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −5 368.78₴ · invest 13 955.97₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.292271 instead of 0.351032; StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn): float at most 0.423300 instead of 0.441183
Craft 2290491 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −5 368.78₴ · invest 13 955.97₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn): float at most 0.423300 instead of 0.441183; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.292271 instead of 0.351032
Craft 2290492 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −5 388.45₴ · invest 13 955.97₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build