The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −12 821.59₴

Invest 21 805.27₴

Average return 8 983.68₴

ROI −58.8%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 47 903.44 ₴, profit at most −38 919.76 ₴

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 25.9% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −13 816.85 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

5 724.05 ₴

at 5 724.05

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

6 239.71 ₴

at 3 119.85

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

9 841.51 ₴

at 4 920.75

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 21 805.27 ₴ −12 821.59 (−58.8%)

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 11.5% of the chance

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

17 172.15 ₴

at 5 724.05

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

7 867.51 ₴

at 7 867.51

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

4 920.75 ₴

at 4 920.75

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 29 960.41 ₴ −13 439.90 (−44.9%)

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 21.1% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

11 448.10 ₴

at 5 724.05

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

3 119.85 ₴

at 3 119.85

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

9 841.51 ₴

at 4 920.75

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 24 409.46 ₴ −12 913.50 (−52.9%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 64%
Above the Steam cap 26%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

12 578.35 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

30 940.54 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

5 031.57 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

6 353.68 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

15 248.31 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

8 733.10 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

6 792.27 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

4 326.83 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

6 742.85 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

91 466.14 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

60 869.70 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

80 914.60 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

73 120.92 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

44 474.07 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

65 181.64 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

22 099.55 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

10 589.51 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

9 509.99 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

8 805.82 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

9 620.54 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

8 529.73 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

7 754.30 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

4 449.35 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

7 069.85 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

5 739.22 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

18 515.44 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

12 075.54 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

8 091.76 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

10 555.68 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

3 836.04 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

6 565.47 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

18 531.57 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

12 327.21 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

10 298.26 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

8 672.67 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

9 889.83 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

7 730.32 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 5 724.05 → 12 363.95 ₴

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 6 239.71 → 13 789.76 ₴

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 9 841.51 → 21 749.73 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −13 442.35 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −12 946.62 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Spectrum 2 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2294632 · The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −11 745.78₴ · invest 23 075.08₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.083435 instead of 0.074287; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.011755 instead of 0.003751
Craft 2294643 · The Spectrum Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −11 745.78₴ · invest 23 075.08₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.083435 instead of 0.074287; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.011755 instead of 0.003751
Craft 2294775 · The eSports 2013 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −12 444.01₴ · invest 24 287.52₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P90 | Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076639 instead of 0.074287; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.005809 instead of 0.003751
Craft 2294782 · The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit −12 444.01₴ · invest 24 287.52₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P90 | Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076639 instead of 0.074287; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.005809 instead of 0.003751
Craft 2294543 · The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −12 821.59₴ · invest 21 805.27₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build