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The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +1 104.57₽

Invest 7 980.33₽

Average return 9 084.90₽

ROI +13.8%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 19 997.16 ₽, profit at most −10 912.26 ₽

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −780 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

2 108.73 ₽

at 2 108.73

Steam

×9

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

5 871.60 ₽

at 652.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 980.33 ₽ +1 104.57 (+13.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 276 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

4 089.24 ₽

at 2 044.62

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

2 220.56 ₽

at 2 220.56

Steam

×7

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

4 566.80 ₽

at 652.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 876.60 ₽ +377.83 (+3.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Nightwish

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076086

7 322.65 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

float up to 0.060869

11 077.68 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.038043

18 715.37 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 634.47 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −73.50 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +831.64 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2316931 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 1 105.88₽ · invest 8 043.56₽
profit on prices without salesat least −548 ₽ rare inputs

M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) instead of Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear); MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076423 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2312170 · The Chroma Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 1 085.57₽ · invest 7 145.73₽
rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear) instead of Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear); MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.082031 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2307333 · The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 1 019.38₽ · invest 7 779.46₽
rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested) instead of Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear); P90 | Asiimov: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077999 instead of 0.076086

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build