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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +310.62₽

Invest 348.43₽

Average return 659.05₽

ROI +89.2%

Chance of profit 80%

With float: invest at least 819.90 ₽, profit at most −160.85 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

48.08 ₽

at 24.04

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

165.95 ₽

at 33.19

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

134.40 ₽

at 44.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 348.43 ₽ +310.62 (+89.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 855.08 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

638.07 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

483.94 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

645.25 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.046899

117.17 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

266.59 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

152.79 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

float up to 0.053199

195.47 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

103.91 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +190.47 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +259.77 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 18 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2329408 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 348.56₽ · invest 403.31₽
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074261; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074261
Craft 2331108 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 348.23₽ · invest 416.29₽
rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074261; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074261
Craft 2325803 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 346.52₽ · invest 454.61₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074261; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074261
Craft 2332663 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 342.06₽ · invest 384.11₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074261; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074261
Craft 2312718 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 338.03₽ · invest 452.01₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074261; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074261
Craft 2311721 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 335.38₽ · invest 394.07₽
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074261; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074261
Craft 2304960 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 334.04₽ · invest 453.35₽
rare inputs

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074261; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074261
Craft 2322866 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 331.04₽ · invest 384.31₽
rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074261; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074261
Craft 2306244 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 327.43₽ · invest 364.43₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074261; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074261
Craft 2332766 · The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 326.23₽ · invest 444.83₽
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074261; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074261
Craft 2332120 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 321.72₽ · invest 422.75₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074261; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074261
Craft 2325221 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 317.30₽ · invest 445.25₽
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074411 instead of 0.074261; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074411 instead of 0.074261
Craft 2327122 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 315.40₽ · invest 349.37₽
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074465 instead of 0.074261; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074465 instead of 0.074261
Craft 2301059 · The Achroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 314.26₽ · invest 424.95₽
rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074396 instead of 0.074261; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074396 instead of 0.074261
Craft 2321358 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 313.97₽ · invest 415.57₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074471 instead of 0.074261; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074471 instead of 0.074261
Craft 2320433 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 312.96₽ · invest 356.99₽
rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074261; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074261
Craft 2330349 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 309.40₽ · invest 388.23₽
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074261; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074261
Craft 2310541 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 266.11₽ · invest 333.77₽
rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074282 instead of 0.074261; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074282 instead of 0.074261

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build