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The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +528.66₽

Invest 4 987.63₽

Average return 5 516.29₽

ROI +10.6%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 12 023.76 ₽, profit at most −6 507.47 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1741

437.12 ₽

at 437.12

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

1 525.56 ₽

at 381.39

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

3 024.95 ₽

at 604.99

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 987.63 ₽ +528.66 (+10.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 50%

about break-even

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

5 944.04 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 015.29 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

5 751.98 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

4 488.68 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −21.49 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +327.53 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2320491 · The Fracture Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 582.11₽ · invest 5 264.83₽
rare inputs

SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested)
Craft 2320463 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 577.15₽ · invest 5 281.80₽
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077437 instead of 0.078407; XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New): float at most 0.006507 instead of 0.007356
Craft 2314605 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 563.36₽ · invest 4 985.96₽
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076267 instead of 0.078407; XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New): float at most 0.005483 instead of 0.007356

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build