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The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +190.50₽

Invest 474.73₽

Average return 665.23₽

ROI +40.1%

Chance of profit 34%

With float: invest at least 1 152.52 ₽, profit at most −487.30 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

73.21 ₽

at 73.21

Steam

×3

P250 | Red Tide

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

53.70 ₽

at 17.90

Steam

×6

M4A1-S | Rose Hex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

347.82 ₽

at 57.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 474.73 ₽ +190.50 (+40.1%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 34%
Losing outcome 34%
About break-even 32%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Mulberry

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

1 299.53 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Factory New

float up to 0.046899

501.83 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | Bleeding Edge

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

519.59 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

540.82 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 667.45 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

689.40 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

445.73 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

92.88 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +106.33 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +154.55 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2315097 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 197.17₽ · invest 431.02₽
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168848 instead of 0.162365; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.005736 instead of 0.003763
Craft 2326971 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 196.84₽ · invest 426.03₽
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162364 instead of 0.162365; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.003762 instead of 0.003763
Craft 2320318 · The Fracture Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 195.61₽ · invest 429.84₽
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2317213 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 194.44₽ · invest 425.56₽
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162215 instead of 0.162365; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.003717 instead of 0.003763
Craft 2330244 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 193.84₽ · invest 445.46₽
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162255 instead of 0.162365; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.003729 instead of 0.003763
Craft 2329837 · The Phoenix Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 193.81₽ · invest 465.96₽
MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161886 instead of 0.162365; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.003617 instead of 0.003763
Craft 2331143 · The Radiant Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 192.77₽ · invest 443.40₽
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164725 instead of 0.162365; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.004481 instead of 0.003763
Craft 2331127 · The Radiant Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 191.43₽ · invest 462.82₽
rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167884 instead of 0.162365; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.005443 instead of 0.003763
Craft 2331040 · The Radiant Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 188.16₽ · invest 433.52₽
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2307740 · The Breakout Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 186.88₽ · invest 450.20₽
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162105 instead of 0.162365; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.003684 instead of 0.003763
Craft 2326239 · The Huntsman Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 181.26₽ · invest 500.84₽
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Twist (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161680 instead of 0.162365; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.003554 instead of 0.003763

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build