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The Falchion Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +86.14$

Invest 182.61$

Average return 268.76$

ROI +47.2%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 467.13 $, profit at most −198.38 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

5.15 $

at 5.15

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Colony IV

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

8.41 $

at 8.41

Steam

×8

SSG 08 | Bloodshot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

169.05 $

at 21.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 182.61 $ +86.14 (+47.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

AWP | Containment Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

532.52 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Stalker

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

115.84 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

189.63 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

156.45 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 only The Shattered Web Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +24.71 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +63.21 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2333113 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 91.50$ · invest 190.10$
sells slowly rare inputs

AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested)
Craft 2316295 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 88.66$ · invest 183.91$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested)
Craft 2324312 · The Glove Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 86.95$ · invest 211.72$
sells slowly rare inputs

FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested); SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162368 instead of 0.161659; SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162368 instead of 0.161659
Craft 2328336 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 85.06$ · invest 201.48$
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested); SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161694 instead of 0.161659; SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161694 instead of 0.161659
Craft 2321421 · The Gallery Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 85.04$ · invest 182.29$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested)
Craft 2333009 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 83.43$ · invest 189.54$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested)
Craft 2310594 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 82.78$ · invest 191.71$
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested); SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165965 instead of 0.161659; SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165965 instead of 0.161659

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build