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The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +7 997.17₽

Invest 16 584.24₽

Average return 24 581.41₽

ROI +48.2%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 41 295.11 ₽, profit at most −16 713.70 ₽

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −16 584 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

751.83 ₽

at 751.83

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

2 063.20 ₽

at 1 031.60

Steam

×7

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

13 769.21 ₽

at 1 967.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16 584.24 ₽ +7 997.17 (+48.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −15 012 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

1 503.66 ₽

at 751.83

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

12 476.45 ₽

at 1 782.35

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

1 031.60 ₽

at 1 031.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15 011.71 ₽ +3 573.47 (+23.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −16 400 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

751.83 ₽

at 751.83

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

1 782.35 ₽

at 1 782.35

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

2 063.20 ₽

at 1 031.60

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

11 802.18 ₽

at 1 967.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16 399.56 ₽ +7 432.33 (+45.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −15 196 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

1 503.66 ₽

at 751.83

Steam

×6

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

10 694.10 ₽

at 1 782.35

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

1 031.60 ₽

at 1 031.60

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

1 967.03 ₽

at 1 967.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15 196.39 ₽ +4 138.32 (+27.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −15 381 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

1 503.66 ₽

at 751.83

Steam

×5

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

8 911.75 ₽

at 1 782.35

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

1 031.60 ₽

at 1 031.60

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

3 934.06 ₽

at 1 967.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15 381.07 ₽ +4 703.17 (+30.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

48 464.48 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

9 796.69 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.024615

22 490.35 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

18 531.65 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Revolution Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Recoil Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6 518.70 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7 267.34 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2332834 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7 937.23₽ · invest 17 054.53₽
profit on prices without salesat least −17 055 ₽ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075853 instead of 0.075173; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005121 instead of 0.004526
Craft 2323782 · The Genesis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7 929.32₽ · invest 16 783.14₽
profit on prices without salesat least −16 783 ₽ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076405 instead of 0.075173; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005605 instead of 0.004526
Craft 2329577 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7 704.36₽ · invest 18 150.95₽
profit on prices without salesat least −15 093 ₽ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2324439 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7 646.11₽ · invest 18 968.74₽
profit on prices without salesat least −17 651 ₽ rare inputs

P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074771 instead of 0.075173; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.004175 instead of 0.004526
Craft 2316440 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7 586.65₽ · invest 16 812.64₽
profit on prices without salesat least −15 986 ₽ rare inputs

P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076405 instead of 0.075173; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005605 instead of 0.004526
Craft 2310708 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7 520.19₽ · invest 17 042.11₽
profit on prices without salesat least −15 278 ₽ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075895 instead of 0.075173; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005158 instead of 0.004526
Craft 2333437 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7 496.36₽ · invest 16 936.67₽
profit on prices without salesat least −16 446 ₽ rare inputs

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074317 instead of 0.075173; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.003777 instead of 0.004526
Craft 2318872 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7 393.50₽ · invest 16 681.84₽
profit on prices without salesat least −15 404 ₽ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076405 instead of 0.075173; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005605 instead of 0.004526
Craft 2322329 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7 366.16₽ · invest 17 067.32₽
profit on prices without salesat least −16 049 ₽ rare inputs

AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2321607 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7 272.22₽ · invest 16 681.84₽
profit on prices without salesat least −16 682 ₽ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build