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The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +154.15₽

Invest 624.31₽

Average return 778.46₽

ROI +24.7%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 1 524.98 ₽, profit at most −746.52 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

50.00 ₽

at 50.00

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

410.40 ₽

at 51.30

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Water Sigil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

163.91 ₽

at 163.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 624.31 ₽ +154.15 (+24.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

FAMAS | Sergeant

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

998.43 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

1 122.85 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127777

636.47 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.021111

485.20 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Blue Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.041111

2 377.42 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

float up to 0.027777

933.91 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −10.62 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +97.57 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2304149 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 159.53₽ · invest 772.57₽
profit on prices without salesat least −52 ₽ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Minimal Wear); Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167449 instead of 0.166355; UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076069 instead of 0.075688

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build