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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +19.73₴

Invest 85.88₴

Average return 105.61₴

ROI +23.0%

Chance of profit 97%

With float: invest at least 215.18 ₴, profit at most −109.56 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0793

22.74 ₴

at 22.74

Steam

×9

SG 553 | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1768

63.14 ₴

at 7.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 85.88 ₴ +19.73 (+23.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 93%
Losing outcome 3%
About break-even 3%

in profit

P2000 | Amber Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

118.45 ₴ 90.00%

Steam

about break-even

AUG | Random Access

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

103.40 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122499

268.39 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

float up to 0.174999

73.72 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Anubis Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Ascent Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.53 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +14.02 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Dust 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2424649 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 20.92₴ · invest 77.10₴
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear); SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163776 instead of 0.176816
Craft 2426692 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 20.69₴ · invest 75.44₴
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear); SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165733 instead of 0.176816
Craft 2428020 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 20.16₴ · invest 79.91₴
R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear); SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163520 instead of 0.176816
Craft 2427815 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 19.99₴ · invest 84.30₴
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear); SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163032 instead of 0.176816
Craft 2427862 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 19.83₴ · invest 85.37₴
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear); SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161764 instead of 0.176816
Craft 2428072 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Train Collection · profit 19.69₴ · invest 75.22₴
Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear); SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172797 instead of 0.176816

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build