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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +223.47₴

Invest 342.23₴

Average return 565.70₴

ROI +65.3%

Chance of profit 46%

With float: invest at least 845.30 ₴, profit at most −279.61 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

113.70 ₴

at 22.74

Steam

×5

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

228.52 ₴

at 45.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 342.23 ₴ +223.47 (+65.3%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

in profit

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

470.21 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.054444

1 879.48 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

281.86 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

982.22 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

115.72 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

253.58 ₴ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

344.16 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Anubis Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Ascent Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +127.79 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +172.49 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2406581 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 232.29₴ · invest 177.16₴
Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075311 instead of 0.074148
Craft 2406905 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 224.49₴ · invest 220.71₴
Nova | Windblown (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076588 instead of 0.074148
Craft 2406906 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 188.03₴ · invest 214.74₴
R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear), Nova | Windblown (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075163 instead of 0.074148
Craft 2406502 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 175.90₴ · invest 186.48₴
rare inputs

P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074148

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build