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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +40.29₴

Invest 260.12₴

Average return 300.41₴

ROI +15.5%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 592.33 ₴, profit at most −291.92 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

142.95 ₴

at 142.95

souvenirSteam

×7

FAMAS | Yeti Camo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

72.38 ₴

at 10.34

Steam

×2

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

44.78 ₴

at 22.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 260.12 ₴ +40.29 (+15.5%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

AK-47 | Midnight Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

375.52 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Royal Guard

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

144.75 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AUG | Sand Storm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

1 320.30 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

float up to 0.207999

966.30 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073999

1 053.94 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.98 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +26.80 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Ascent Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2415021 · The Ascent Collection + The Vertigo Collection · profit 37.49₴ · invest 228.31₴
rare inputs

Souvenir P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161593 instead of 0.161821; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074032 instead of 0.074111

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build