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The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +162.36₴

Invest 229.95₴

Average return 392.32₴

ROI +70.6%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 576.84 ₴, profit at most −184.52 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

26.00 ₴

at 26.00

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

17.57 ₴

at 17.57

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

186.38 ₴

at 23.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 229.95 ₴ +162.36 (+70.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

37.20 ₴

at 18.60

Steam

×5

Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

130.01 ₴

at 26.00

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

52.72 ₴

at 17.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 219.93 ₴ +24.78 (+11.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 8%
About break-even 22%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

982.22 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

337.84 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

253.58 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

344.16 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

160.03 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

326.92 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

139.73 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

159.50 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +88.98 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +127.84 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2440002 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 166.27₴ · invest 238.08₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.074772; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.074772
Craft 2442870 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 165.33₴ · invest 221.82₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New)
Craft 2440435 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 165.19₴ · invest 227.18₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.074772; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.074772
Craft 2441522 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 163.18₴ · invest 221.24₴
rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.074772; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.074772
Craft 2423964 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 162.73₴ · invest 222.04₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.074772; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.074772
Craft 2441895 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 162.50₴ · invest 220.75₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075061 instead of 0.074772; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075061 instead of 0.074772
Craft 2431530 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 160.72₴ · invest 240.82₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075002 instead of 0.074772; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075002 instead of 0.074772
Craft 2426382 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 156.98₴ · invest 238.58₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075185 instead of 0.074772; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075185 instead of 0.074772
Craft 2418922 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 156.24₴ · invest 244.69₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074924 instead of 0.074772; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074924 instead of 0.074772
Craft 2433771 · The Genesis Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 152.94₴ · invest 242.46₴
rare inputs

MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075185 instead of 0.074772; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075185 instead of 0.074772
Craft 2429710 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 151.30₴ · invest 234.45₴
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075185 instead of 0.074772; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075185 instead of 0.074772

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build