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The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +296.49₽

Invest 450.60₽

Average return 747.09₽

ROI +65.8%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 1 124.66 ₽, profit at most −377.57 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

65.41 ₽

at 65.41

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

33.19 ₽

at 33.19

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

352.00 ₽

at 44.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 450.60 ₽ +296.49 (+65.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

19.67 ₽

at 19.67

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

65.41 ₽

at 65.41

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

33.19 ₽

at 33.19

Steam

×7

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

308.00 ₽

at 44.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 426.27 ₽ +280.49 (+65.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

78.68 ₽

at 19.67

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

65.41 ₽

at 65.41

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

33.19 ₽

at 33.19

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

176.00 ₽

at 44.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 353.28 ₽ +232.52 (+65.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

98.35 ₽

at 19.67

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

65.41 ₽

at 65.41

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

33.19 ₽

at 33.19

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

132.00 ₽

at 44.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 328.95 ₽ +216.53 (+65.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

118.02 ₽

at 19.67

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

65.41 ₽

at 65.41

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

33.19 ₽

at 33.19

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

88.00 ₽

at 44.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 304.62 ₽ +200.54 (+65.8%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 31%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 855.08 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

638.07 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

478.92 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

650.00 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

476.38 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

374.42 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

662.94 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

333.66 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

361.71 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +159.17 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +232.08 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2440002 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 314.03₽ · invest 449.65₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.075185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.075185
Craft 2442870 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 312.26₽ · invest 418.94₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.075185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.075185
Craft 2440435 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 311.98₽ · invest 429.07₽
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.075185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.075185
Craft 2441522 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 308.19₽ · invest 417.85₽
rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.075185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.075185
Craft 2423964 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 307.33₽ · invest 419.36₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.075185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.075185
Craft 2441895 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 306.92₽ · invest 416.93₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075061 instead of 0.075185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075061 instead of 0.075185
Craft 2417852 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 306.65₽ · invest 434.30₽
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.075185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.075185
Craft 2431530 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 303.54₽ · invest 454.82₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075002 instead of 0.075185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075002 instead of 0.075185
Craft 2418922 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 295.08₽ · invest 462.14₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074924 instead of 0.075185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074924 instead of 0.075185
Craft 2433771 · The Genesis Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 288.85₽ · invest 457.93₽
rare inputs

MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New)
Craft 2429710 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 285.75₽ · invest 442.80₽
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build