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The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +7.86$

Invest 51.51$

Average return 59.37$

ROI +15.2%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 122.45 $, profit at most −63.09 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×6

P250 | Kintsugi

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4807

27.14 $

at 4.52

Steam

×3

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

16.93 $

at 5.64

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3839

7.44 $

at 7.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51.51 $ +7.86 (+15.2%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×5

P250 | Kintsugi

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4862

22.62 $

at 4.52

Steam

×2

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

11.29 $

at 5.64

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3846

14.88 $

at 7.44

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

8.23 $

at 8.23

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 57.01 $ +3.42 (+6.0%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×5

P250 | Kintsugi

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4835

22.62 $

at 4.52

Steam

×1

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

5.64 $

at 5.64

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3842

14.88 $

at 7.44

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

16.45 $

at 8.23

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.59 $ +1.37 (+2.3%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×6

P250 | Kintsugi

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4783

27.14 $

at 4.52

Steam

×2

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

11.29 $

at 5.64

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3836

7.44 $

at 7.44

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

8.23 $

at 8.23

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 54.09 $ +5.81 (+10.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

worst

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

65.91 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

69.41 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

74.19 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

73.38 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Fracture Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.01 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.85 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2418255 · The CS20 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 7.91$ · invest 48.53$
rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.498426 instead of 0.480797; P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170251 instead of 0.162878
Craft 2425767 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 7.82$ · invest 48.81$
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486576 instead of 0.480797; P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165295 instead of 0.162878
Craft 2424597 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 7.80$ · invest 49.14$
UMP-45 | Momentum (Field-Tested) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.493258 instead of 0.480797; P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168089 instead of 0.162878
Craft 2421262 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 7.72$ · invest 56.40$
rare inputs

AUG | Fleet Flock (Well-Worn) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486576 instead of 0.480797; P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165295 instead of 0.162878
Craft 2426582 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.61$ · invest 53.38$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Well-Worn) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486576 instead of 0.480797; P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165295 instead of 0.162878
Craft 2426017 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 7.25$ · invest 50.19$
Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn); P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.509468 instead of 0.480797; P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174868 instead of 0.162878

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build