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The Dead Hand Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +2.33$

Invest 7.94$

Average return 10.27$

ROI +29.3%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 19.96 $, profit at most −9.69 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

0.77 $

at 0.77

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

0.63 $

at 0.63

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

6.54 $

at 0.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.94 $ +2.33 (+29.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

1.39 $

at 0.23

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

0.77 $

at 0.77

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

0.63 $

at 0.63

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

1.64 $

at 0.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.42 $ +2.02 (+45.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

1.62 $

at 0.23

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

0.77 $

at 0.77

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

0.63 $

at 0.63

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

0.82 $

at 0.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.84 $ +1.96 (+51.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

9.20 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11.92 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

16.50 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5.61 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.41 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.81 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.93 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.26 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.76 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.51 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2431739 · The Gallery Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.41$ · invest 7.99$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074368 instead of 0.074526; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074368 instead of 0.074526
Craft 2419085 · The CS20 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.31$ · invest 8.07$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074300 instead of 0.074526; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074300 instead of 0.074526
Craft 2433933 · The Genesis Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.24$ · invest 8.03$
rare inputs

MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New)
Craft 2443708 · The Spectrum Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.23$ · invest 7.93$
rare inputs

P250 | Ripple (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074169 instead of 0.074526; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074169 instead of 0.074526
Craft 2429887 · The Fever Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.20$ · invest 7.85$
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build