to all crafts

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Horizon Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +37.79$

Invest 82.98$

Average return 120.76$

ROI +45.5%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 204.59 $, profit at most −83.83 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

24.13 $

at 8.04

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

58.84 $

at 8.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 82.98 $ +37.79 (+45.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

8.04 $

at 8.04

Steam

×1

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

15.92 $

at 15.92

Steam

×8

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

67.25 $

at 8.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 91.21 $ +33.77 (+37.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

246.03 $ 35.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

60.86 $ 35.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Nightwish

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

80.62 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

129.14 $ 15.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Falchion Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +20.97 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +34.68 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2431087 · The Gallery Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 42.50$ · invest 91.78$
sells slowly float cannot be reached rare inputs

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) instead of Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2435890 · The Horizon Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 40.47$ · invest 82.93$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear), P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074369 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2436236 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 39.07$ · invest 101.75$
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) instead of Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2423537 · The Clutch Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 36.47$ · invest 86.25$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076086 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2436069 · The Horizon Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 34.77$ · invest 93.68$
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) instead of Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074281 instead of 0.074468

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build