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The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +230.01₴

Invest 242.31₴

Average return 472.33₴

ROI +94.9%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 603.43 ₴, profit at most −131.10 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

37.06 ₴

at 37.06

Steam

×1

P90 | Off World

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

19.13 ₴

at 19.13

Steam

×8

MAC-10 | Whitefish

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

186.12 ₴

at 23.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 242.31 ₴ +230.01 (+94.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

27.91 ₴

at 27.91

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

111.19 ₴

at 37.06

Steam

×5

P250 | Verdigris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

85.33 ₴

at 17.07

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Whitefish

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

23.27 ₴

at 23.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 247.69 ₴ +179.33 (+72.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −37 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

195.40 ₴

at 27.91

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

37.06 ₴

at 37.06

Steam

×1

P90 | Off World

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

19.13 ₴

at 19.13

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Whitefish

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

23.27 ₴

at 23.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 274.86 ₴ +91.76 (+33.4%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 20%

in profit

best

AWP | Atheris

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 664.08 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Light Rail

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

669.35 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Gauss

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

115.53 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

Tec-9 | Bamboozle

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

283.21 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

70.58 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

286.35 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

925.78 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

422.27 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

252.15 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

47.84 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Prisma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +132.92 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +178.24 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 28 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2435825 · The Horizon Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 240.12₴ · invest 244.54₴
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2440890 · The Prisma Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 237.55₴ · invest 226.65₴
rare inputs

Nova | Windblown (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2432220 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 237.26₴ · invest 246.91₴
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074137 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074137 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2422732 · The Chroma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 236.49₴ · invest 244.35₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2414779 · The Ascent Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 236.26₴ · invest 245.12₴
rare inputs

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074324 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074324 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2439360 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 236.16₴ · invest 232.56₴
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2421790 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 235.76₴ · invest 229.88₴
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2440789 · The Prisma Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 234.11₴ · invest 237.40₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2440712 · The Prisma Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 234.07₴ · invest 237.45₴
rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2432952 · The Gamma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 233.88₴ · invest 227.35₴
rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2440988 · The Prisma Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 233.43₴ · invest 242.92₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2416053 · The Boreal Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 230.71₴ · invest 222.79₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074324 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074324 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2435309 · The Harlequin Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 230.10₴ · invest 243.38₴
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074378 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074378 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2410736 · The Achroma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 230.02₴ · invest 237.30₴
rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074369 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074369 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2437086 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 229.98₴ · invest 218.23₴
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074408 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074408 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2430468 · The Fracture Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 229.84₴ · invest 219.52₴
rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2440827 · The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 229.43₴ · invest 250.96₴
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2427271 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 228.96₴ · invest 217.55₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074293 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074293 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2439859 · The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 228.44₴ · invest 239.38₴
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074050 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074050 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2440922 · The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 227.50₴ · invest 223.12₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2440277 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 227.35₴ · invest 228.48₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074324 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074324 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2440728 · The Prisma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 225.35₴ · invest 222.54₴
rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2423794 · The Clutch Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 224.89₴ · invest 223.34₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2440759 · The Prisma Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 224.67₴ · invest 222.06₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074463 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074463 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2417721 · The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 224.53₴ · invest 231.25₴
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2431353 · The Gallery Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 222.88₴ · invest 242.12₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074411 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074411 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2426230 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 219.15₴ · invest 239.88₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074571 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074571 instead of 0.074409
Craft 2418784 · The CS20 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 218.41₴ · invest 245.99₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074343 instead of 0.074409; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074343 instead of 0.074409

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build