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The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1 108.53₽

Invest 11 393.67₽

Average return 12 502.20₽

ROI +9.7%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 26 839.34 ₽, profit at most −14 337.14 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

5 183.01 ₽

at 740.43

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

4 152.78 ₽

at 2 076.39

Steam

×1

FAMAS | Afterimage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

2 057.88 ₽

at 2 057.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11 393.67 ₽ +1 108.53 (+9.7%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 099.65 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 282.66 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A4 | X-Ray

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

11 554.94 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The Fracture Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −681.17 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +747.34 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build