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The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +6.11$

Invest 23.60$

Average return 29.71$

ROI +25.9%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 56.87 $, profit at most −27.16 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

Nova | Ocular

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

12.52 $

at 1.39

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

11.08 $

at 11.08

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 23.60 $ +6.11 (+25.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Continuum

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

0.67 $

at 0.67

Steam

×7

Nova | Ocular

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

9.74 $

at 1.39

Steam

×2

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

22.17 $

at 11.08

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32.58 $ +1.87 (+5.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

AWP | Ice Coaled

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30.41 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25.14 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Smoking Kills

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30.63 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Electric Hive

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

78.98 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

104.57 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

float up to 0.046599

65.91 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.78 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.28 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Genesis Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2413951 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 5.64$ · invest 20.35$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New); Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.076511

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build