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The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Prisma Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +10.76$

Invest 18.49$

Average return 29.25$

ROI +58.2%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 46.71 $, profit at most −17.46 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

4.10 $

at 4.10

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

14.39 $

at 1.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18.49 $ +10.76 (+58.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

4.10 $

at 4.10

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

22.79 $

at 7.60

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

9.59 $

at 1.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 36.48 $ +0.78 (+2.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

4.10 $

at 4.10

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

15.19 $

at 7.60

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

11.19 $

at 1.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30.48 $ +4.10 (+13.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

4.10 $

at 4.10

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

7.60 $

at 7.60

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

12.79 $

at 1.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24.49 $ +7.43 (+30.3%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

AUG | Momentum

Factory New

float up to 0.068627

44.01 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

float up to 0.260784

7.25 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Incinegator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

40.44 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Crakow!

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

82.56 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Factory New

float up to 0.015686

40.00 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Prisma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.04 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9.32 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Overpass 2024 Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2416063 · The Boreal Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 10.94$ · invest 15.93$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New): float at most 0.003784 instead of 0.004276
Craft 2426241 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 10.82$ · invest 16.17$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New): float at most 0.005332 instead of 0.004276
Craft 2433637 · The Genesis Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 10.64$ · invest 15.78$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New): float at most 0.005332 instead of 0.004276

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build