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The Phoenix Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +138.37₴

Invest 326.80₴

Average return 465.17₴

ROI +42.3%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 846.73 ₴, profit at most −381.56 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

27.16 ₴

at 27.16

Steam

×9

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

299.64 ₴

at 33.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 326.80 ₴ +138.37 (+42.3%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

M4A1-S | Nitro

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

546.52 ₴ 90.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Sergeant

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112162

534.18 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

606.13 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106756

334.00 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.005135

248.67 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +50.74 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +79.80 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Safehouse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2406137 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 145.60₴ · invest 333.54₴
pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.003860 instead of 0.004415
Craft 2442758 · The Safehouse Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 141.01₴ · invest 394.79₴
rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.004171 instead of 0.004415
Craft 2428770 · The Falchion Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 135.33₴ · invest 336.70₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005647 instead of 0.004415
Craft 2435965 · The Horizon Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 134.75₴ · invest 338.93₴
Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005515 instead of 0.004415
Craft 2442759 · The Safehouse Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 132.19₴ · invest 321.04₴
Nova | Windblown (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005515 instead of 0.004415
Craft 2432367 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 131.89₴ · invest 341.30₴
G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005466 instead of 0.004415
Craft 2422858 · The Chroma Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 131.13₴ · invest 338.74₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005515 instead of 0.004415

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Safehouse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build